Wednesday 7 February 2018

Friends: on BJP and its disgruntled allies

With three *disgruntled(dissatisfied/aggrieve-नाराज) allies(associate-सहयोगी), the BJP is struggling(contend/scramble-संघर्ष) to hold its partners together


Alliances(coalition/association-गठबंधन) are needed most in wartime, even if they are best made in peacetime. The Bharatiya Janata Party does not depend on the numerical strength of any alliance partner for its survival in government at the Centre, but it could well need all the help it can get in 2019 for the next Lok Sabha election. In the south, where it requires electoral partners the most, the BJP counts only on the Telugu Desam Party in Andhra Pradesh, but the strains(tension/exertion-तनाव) are beginning to show on this long-standing friendship. Suddenly, the BJP finds itself having to deal with a *belligerent(antagonistic/hostile-विरोधी) TDP, which is under some political pressure to demonstrate(show/reveal-दिखाना) to its support base that it is doing all it can to get the best deal for the State from the Centre. Also, the glue that bound these two parties earlier — that of anti-Congressism — is wearing somewhat thin now. 


After the founding of Telangana, the Congress is no longer the TDP’s principal rival (contender / opponent-प्रतिद्वंद्वी) in Andhra Pradesh, with the YSRCP under the leadership of Y.S. Jaganmohan Reddy having emerged(come out/appear-उभरना) as a powerful political player. The TDP is painfully aware that the old relationship notwithstanding, the BJP may see the YSRCP as a potential ally(associate), a party that it can do business with if the circumstances so demand. As things stand, Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister N. Chandrababu Naidu is reluctant(resistant/unwilling-अनिच्छुक) to *snap (break/fracture-तोड़ना) the tie. But it will be no surprise if he continues to ramp(increase/rise) up pressure on a BJP that has been put on the defensive thanks to the mauling(defeat/conquest-हार) in the Rajasthan by-elections and the growing disaffection(discontent/dislike-असंतोष) among a couple of its other allies.

In Maharashtra, the Shiv Sena has been on a confrontation(encounter/conflict-विरोध) course for some time now, and in Punjab the Shiromani Akali Dal has recently turned just short of hostile (repugnant/unfriendly-शत्रुतापूर्ण). The reasons for the strain in each of the three States are of course very different. In Maharashtra, the BJP and the Shiv Sena court a similar political constituency and to a large extent each can grow only at the expense of the other. This contradiction between being an ally at one level and a rival at another level is a source of *perennial(perpetual/abiding-स्थायी) strain, which is why both parties prefer a post-electoral tie-up, as they did after the Assembly election of 2014, to a pre-election alliance. 


In Punjab, the BJP and the Akali Dal occupy different political spaces. While the former is no threat (menace/jeopardy-ख़तरा) to the latter, the Akali Dal is *chafing at what it sees as step-motherly treatment meted out(allot/partition-बाँटना)to it. If in Andhra Pradesh the BJP has a choice of allies and if it is better off without one in Maharashtra, the situation in Punjab is different in as much as the Akali Dal remains its best bet. The BJP may not need to rethink all its alliances, but it must rework its relationships with its allies if it wants to head a strong coalition of forces in 2019.

*disgruntle :- angry or dissatisfied(नाराज)

*belligerent :- hostile and aggressive(विरोधी)

*snap :- break or cause to break suddenly and completely(टूटना)

*perennial :- lasting or existing for a long or apparently infinite time(स्थायी)

*chafing :- scrape or wear away by friction or erosion(नष्ट करना)

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